Agent trace
Why this decision
1. Moment agent
Fatima Pereira · young couple · City Centre DeiraDormant points · urgency med6,885 points (AED 688.5) unredeemed for 374 days.
2. Ecosystem navigator
Trigger: points balance · cross-BU consent yes3 candidate offers3 redemption options at City Centre Deira; steered to off-peak capacity where available.
3. Offer economist
upliftProb × basket × margin − net cost after brand fundingSpend nothing · saved AED 69.1Spend nothing: best option (Weekday matinee ticket for 2,500 points) scores AED 4.4, below the AED 5 minimum. Saved AED 69.1 by not discounting.
Offer Funded by Uplift Exp. GP Net cost Score Weekday matinee ticket for 2,500 points MAF 18% 11.9 7.5 4.4 Lower score Dinner for two with 6,000 points tenant 40% 18% 8.1 21.6 -13.5 Costs more than it earns Use 5,000 points for AED 50 off at Carrefour MAF 18% 13.9 40.0 -26.1 Costs more than it earns 4. Guardrails
Holdout yes · 0 msgs this weekSpend nothingNo action to check — economist chose to spend nothing.
5. Action
Channel: noneNo message sentDecision logged for measurement against holdout.